Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.893541 1.101494 1.325183 1.581461 1.864839 2.166661 2.510530
2024-10-13 0.614591 0.889545 1.210755 1.604154 2.064275 2.577752 3.186767
2024-10-20 0.444059 0.736954 1.102607 1.572905 2.144437 2.801656 3.600573
2024-10-27 0.385524 0.710955 1.137544 1.704973 2.411996 3.240467 4.262757
2024-11-03 0.336467 0.685193 1.162946 1.817008 2.648972 3.638693 4.874431
2024-11-10 0.296488 0.664125 1.188771 1.925518 2.879319 4.028391 5.477026
2024-11-17 0.263658 0.647184 1.215611 2.032046 3.105213 4.411971 6.072746
2024-11-24 0.219407 0.603288 1.198499 2.075671 3.248290 4.692841 6.544710
2024-12-01 0.173793 0.547343 1.157113 2.081136 3.338485 4.906076 6.933437
2024-12-08 0.123329 0.469184 1.073055 2.020066 3.336146 4.999957 7.173538
2024-12-15 0.084101 0.400377 0.994909 1.960533 3.330595 5.085963 7.401082
2024-12-22 0.057630 0.349286 0.938882 1.927778 3.356829 5.209080 7.671877
2024-12-29 0.041297 0.319200 0.919746 1.955225 3.474611 5.462645 8.123344
2025-01-05 0.026292 0.283269 0.885748 1.957879 3.557872 5.673007 8.523819
2025-01-12 0.013907 0.242684 0.836046 1.930815 3.595409 5.820602 8.842441
2025-01-19 0.013350 0.255123 0.892938 2.076545 3.881491 6.298466 9.584550
2025-01-26 0.011900 0.261838 0.937978 2.203309 4.141051 6.742297 10.284796
2025-02-02 0.010345 0.266778 0.979257 2.324306 4.393124 7.177405 10.975621
2025-02-09 0.008888 0.271098 1.019136 2.443339 4.643094 7.610810 11.665830
2025-02-16 0.005499 0.256648 1.017084 2.491894 4.790409 7.907522 12.181377
2025-02-23 0.002338 0.232670 0.990877 2.497999 4.874593 8.119252 12.587657
2025-03-02 0.000214 0.193682 0.923686 2.429942 4.846533 8.177974 12.795036
2025-03-09 NaN 0.159440 0.860231 2.363522 4.817498 8.232973 12.995796